A Dialogue with Yourself: Past, Present, and Future

A Dialogue with Yourself: Past, Present, and Future

When the world—inner or outer—seems upside-down, journaling is often what saves me (here’s a real example). My girlfriend recently found a gem in “The Isolation Journals,” a project by Suleika Jaouad (@suleikajaouad) intended to be “a 30-day creativity project to help make sense of challenging times.” Each day for 30 days, you receive a journaling …

Emergency Technique: How to Increase Ventilator Capacity 2–4x in 10 Minutes

The next two weeks are going to be very difficult, and the risk of ventilator shortages due to COVID-19 is high. Manufacturing will ultimately help, but it takes time. I’m already aware of one hospital in New York that can no longer provision one “vent” per patient, and demand is likely to grow dramatically over …

Predicting Hospital Capacity: Why to Act Early, How to Think About Lag Time, and a Model You Can Use

Predicting Hospital Capacity: Why to Act Early, How to Think About Lag Time, and a Model You Can Use

NOTE FROM TIM: The following was written by a close friend who has decades of experience in healthcare systems and advanced training in computer science and healthcare data science. He preferred to publish anonymously to avoid political headaches, so I’ll call him “Felix.” We are publishing this quickly for reasons that will soon be obvious, …

Some Thoughts on Coronaviruses and Seatbelts

“Hope is not a strategy.“ — James Cameron A prescient article titled “Body Count” by Epsilon Theory/Ben Hunt (@epsilontheory) was recently sent to me by one of my smartest and most connected friends.  It paints a spooky picture of the Chinese reports of what has been informally referred to as “Wuhan coronavirus.” Per the WHO …

11 Reasons Not to Become Famous (or “A Few Lessons Learned Since 2007”)

11 Reasons Not to Become Famous (or “A Few Lessons Learned Since 2007”)

Let the cymbals of popularity tinkle still. Let the butterflies of fame glitter with their wings. I shall envy neither their music nor their colors. — John AdamsLetters of John Adams Addressed to His Wife “If I’m not famous by 30, I might as well put a bullet in my head.” That’s an actual sentence …

Finding the One Decision That Removes 100 Decisions (or, Why I’m Reading No New Books in 2020)

Finding the One Decision That Removes 100 Decisions (or, Why I’m Reading No New Books in 2020)

Donald Knuth, a renowned mathematician and recipient of the Turing Award (considered the Nobel Prize of computer science), retired from using email in 1990.  He issued a public statement on his Stanford faculty page, which I saved to Evernote 1–2 years ago. I think of it often, and my favorite portion is below: “I have …